Probability distributions of molecular observables computed from Markov models. II. Uncertainties in observables and their time-evolution

John D. Chodera and Frank Noé.
J. Chem. Phys. 133:105102, 2010. [DOI] [PDF]

A simple Bayesian approach for the modeling of statistical uncertainties in kinetic and equilibrium quantities computed from Markov state models of biomolecular dynamics.